THE WisdomTree BLOG
2019 is likely to be a good year for Japan. However, there are some outlier scenarios investors may worry about. Improbable as they may seem, any movement toward their far-out direction will force a true about-face in the current consensus. Jesper Koll outlines 10 potential surprises for Japan in 2019.
The Japanese markets are trading near their lowest valuation levels in the last 30 years, with increased profitability and better returns on capital and improving profit margins. Yet investors aren’t interested. Here is why we believe Japan is an underowned value opportunity.
On Thursday, Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe was re-elected as the ruling Liberal Democratic Party leader, winning by a very solid 70-30 margin against his one internal competitor. This bodes well for Japan’s economy in general, and Japanese risk assets in particular.
Japan’s GDP report was a nice, positive surprise. Real GDP accelerated 1.9% in the April–June quarter, which was about half a percent better than consensus expectations. This is right around Japan’s growth potential—fast enough for corporate profits to rise but not too fast to warrant changes in monetary policy.